Maybe the Apple Watch isn't for you

Along with the launch of a series of new products, Apple has just launched its first hardware product in the post-Steve Jobs era, the smartwatch Apple Watch. On Friday, Apple began accepting pre-orders for the Apple Watch.

However, according to Gene Munster, an analyst at market research firm Piper Jaffray, the first batch of this smart watch was sold out within just 30 minutes of the pre-order period.

Some users will have to wait until April 24 when Apple launches the Apple Watch to get the product, but more users will have to wait until mid-May or June to get the Apple Watch, and some users will even have to wait until July to get the product.

Initial demand for the Apple Watch isn’t as shocking as you might think. In fact, it’s Apple’s established fan base and the company’s already stellar reputation that are ensuring the new smartwatch will sell well in the first place.

However, after the initial sales wave, what will the future of Apple Watch look like? Will it become the next Newton, or the next iPad?

In this regard, Farhad Manjoo, a columnist for the New York Times' technology column, believes that Apple Watch will be a larger business for Apple than the iPad. Jay Yarow, a contributor to the famous American technology blog BI, recently did a week-long podcast with Manjoo, in which they talked about Apple Watch, and Manjoo has been trying out the Apple Watch for more than a week.

Despite the lack of recent updates, the iPad remains an undisputedly important business for Apple, generating $30.3 billion in revenue for Apple in fiscal 2014, compared to Facebook's total revenue of $12.5 billion in 2014.

So, from Manjoo's point of view, why will the Apple Watch become a bigger business than the iPad? It's mainly because the Apple Watch will be the perfect accessory for the iPhone smartphone, which is the computing device of the future.

The Apple Watch isn’t for everyone:

The first initial reviews of the Apple Watch have been mixed. While some of the reviews have been generally positive, a closer look at the reviews reveals that some have expressed dissatisfaction with the product.

John Gruber, one of the most thoughtful bloggers about Apple, said that the Apple Watch is not a good watch. The display of this smartwatch only turns on when the user flicks the wrist, and even then it is very slow to turn on the display, and there is even a delay when the display turns on. However, Manjoo wrote in the New York Times that he likes the Apple Watch very much, but he also warned that this product is not for everyone.

"From the perspective of Apple's unusual new device, this smartwatch is not for tech novices," Manju wrote in the article. "The Apple Watch is designed primarily for people who receive a lot of notifications on their smartphones, and for those who think about and want to try to manage the digital world that interferes with their lifestyle."

Joanna Stern of the Wall Street Journal tells people not to buy the Apple Watch. "Every time I stop to look at this smartwatch, I think to myself that the next one will be even better," Stern said. "You could argue that this is just like any fashion product, but watches are meant to last. Unlike the Cartier watch I got when I graduated from college, the glamour and beauty of the original Apple Watch will fade quickly."

Manjou also reiterated in his podcast with Yelo that the Apple Watch is not for everyone. Only those who need to use it with their phone should buy the Apple Watch. Even then, those users should buy the cheapest Apple Watch, either the $349 or $399 Sport model.

Manjoo believes that within this year, the design of the Apple Watch will become more and more beautiful, and users who spend a lot of money to buy the first Apple Watch will get themselves deceived.

The future of smartwatches:

People may lose the big picture by paying attention to a small number of criticisms and ignoring more praise. Overall, the overall comments on Apple Watch in the industry are still very positive. Most people believe that this new product of Apple will change people's lives, but it will not happen this year, but perhaps in the next few years.

"What's most exciting about Apple Watch isn't the device itself, but the new technological vistas that will open up as one of the first mainstream wearable computers," Manjoo wrote in his review. Manjoo envisions a future in which the Apple Watch will be the center of our connected lives.

Andrew Uerkwitz, an analyst at market research firm Oppenheimer, agrees with Manjoo. Uerkwitz said in a report, "We believe that in the next five years, the Apple Watch will revolutionize the way we interact with the things around us. We believe this is the digital age."

The ‘gatekeeper’ – the primary interface between users and the vast array of connected hardware devices that consumers are adding to their lives, ultimately forming their unique IoT ecosystem.”

This has become a normal dynamic for watches. Don't just stay in today's world, look at how the world will change in five years, when more objects will be connected to each other. Imagine a future where you can use your smartwatch to open the door and pay the bills with your smartwatch.

You can also imagine a future where your home is connected and how it interacts with your smartwatch. With this kind of thinking, the true potential of smartwatches will be truly unlocked, once it becomes possible.

While this may be true, there are some problems with this line of thinking. Remember, the things that get people excited about smartwatches are already in smartphones, and everything a smartwatch can do, a smartphone can also do.

Therefore, smartwatches can never be as powerful as smartphones, after all, it is not a difficult task to take a phone out of your pocket.

New identity recognition:

However, Manju claims there is still a huge gap between smartphones and smartwatches. Smartwatches are worn on the user's wrist and can enhance identification capabilities that are not present in smartphones. Even if you want to use your smartphone to open a door or complete other tasks, you still have to take out the phone and scan your fingerprint to confirm your identity.

However, smartwatches will be able to bring us to a more seamless world of technology, where we can keep our phones in our pockets without having to take them out at all.

But smartphones are only going to get more powerful and more useful, which is why the smartwatch business could become bigger than the iPad, which is a nifty device but not a necessity like the iPhone.

In this regard, Manju claimed that as the iPhone becomes more and more integrated into people's lives, wearing a mobile phone accessory on our wrists will certainly produce incredible effects.

As a winner of Toutiao's Qingyun Plan and Baijiahao's Bai+ Plan, the 2019 Baidu Digital Author of the Year, the Baijiahao's Most Popular Author in the Technology Field, the 2019 Sogou Technology and Culture Author, and the 2021 Baijiahao Quarterly Influential Creator, he has won many awards, including the 2013 Sohu Best Industry Media Person, the 2015 China New Media Entrepreneurship Competition Beijing Third Place, the 2015 Guangmang Experience Award, the 2015 China New Media Entrepreneurship Competition Finals Third Place, and the 2018 Baidu Dynamic Annual Powerful Celebrity.