It is said that Google's intelligence is already enough to be used for football betting. Using real-time sports match data, Twitter, and Google Cloud Computing, it is possible to predict the match data and correctly predict the results of the 16-to-8 matches. Moreover, it has made serious predictions for the next four finals: Brazil vs. Colombia, Brazil has a 71% chance of winning; France vs. Germany, France has a 69% chance of winning; Netherlands vs. Costa Rica, Netherlands has a 68% chance of winning; Argentina vs. Belgium, Argentina has an 81% chance of winning... Do you think this is accurate? If it is accurate, let's not bet on football, just buy the Google algorithm! The charm of football lies in its contingency. Although strong teams have a greater chance of winning, there is no permanent winner on the field - of course, the "Chinese National Men's Adult Football Team" may be an exception. Therefore, this prediction is quite theoretical, otherwise Italy and Spain would not have been eliminated. However, Google is not a dummy (note: Internet language, silly and a little cute), but a very smart guy. Using high intelligence to create idiots Google obviously does more than just predict the World Cup. Google Glass and Google Now also want to predict people's needs. This has been identified as Google's strategic task, known as contextually aware computing. In other words, you are bound to have a certain need in a certain scenario, and then Google learns your needs and pushes a service to you. For example, you are waiting in line at the bank for too long, and suddenly want to download an e-banking APP to solve the problem. At this time, you don't need to go to a certain app store. Google will recommend a download link here, and after you complete the online process, the APP can be automatically uninstalled. This is obviously more advanced than LBS-based search, and it is "customized on demand." In other words, Google's prediction is essentially a search, but this search is not only based on so-called big data and cloud computing, but also combined with your scenario. The same is true for predictions on the court. If various data on the field can be transmitted to Google's cloud, it may know whether Messi's muscles are about to fatigue, the overall speed of a certain team has begun to decline... and so on. This is theoretically possible and a "probability" can be obtained. In fact, search engines are like the common brain of human society, and are the "cloud" of human knowledge. The key is that they can become smarter and smarter, while humans themselves cannot evolve so quickly. The final result is that people no longer need to store information in their brains, and they don't even need to remember many things. If they need something, they can just search. A recent survey by a certain organization also indirectly proves this point. Many people born after 1995 don't remember the way at all. Isn't it better to use map navigation? This is indeed not funny, but it may be turning more and more people into funny people. This is by no means alarmist. When you don't realize what you need, all your needs have been pushed to you. At this time, even if humans are not slaves of machines, they are also part of machines. Can't IBM's Deep Blue defeat chess masters? A few years ago, people believed that computers could not defeat Go masters within a dozen years. Recently, many nine-dan masters have been placed in front of machine opponents. This is creating idiots in a highly intelligent way, which is a kind of invasion of humans by machines. Or, by then, humans will have their own new evolutionary direction? Who knows, pessimism is also a day, and optimism is also a day. The real tragedy of technology Some people say, isn't this a funny question? Technology is always neutral. The key is how people use it. In the past, people were afraid of trains, airplanes, and mobile phones! This question is of course reasonable, because humans have been moving forward and there is no need to be overly afraid of machines. In fact, what we are afraid of is not the machine, but the people behind the super machine. This fear is not the fear of the machine, but the fear of people's unequal control of the machine. When the Indians "fought" with bows and arrows against the Spanish army, it was basically a scene of slaughter. Because everyone has different tools. The horror of smart machines lies in who is in control of it, what the people who control it use it for, and who can authorize it to use it. The real tragedy of technology is that technology is technology after all. It cannot change the people who use it. Good or bad, just or evil, it is random and difficult to control. For example, Facebook recently conducted an emotional experiment on ordinary users on its social network. It can say with a high-sounding voice that this is to improve the product experience. So, one day, can Google see everyone's inner thoughts and save them on its own servers, until one day, what you think in your heart will also be used as the basis for advertising push? Since capital is selfish, this possibility has always existed. The problem is that machines have become extremely powerful now, and a little bit of evil in the hands of machines will affect billions of people and cause immeasurable harm. The opposite is also true: the NSA monitors more than 190 countries on the grounds of protecting the safety of Americans, otherwise it would not be possible to know the whereabouts of terrorists. The problem is that the number of Afghans and Iraqis killed in the name of 911 has long exceeded the number of victims of 911. How many evil deeds have been disguised in the name of morality? Therefore, whether it was thousands of years ago or now, the progress of technology has not significantly improved human nature. New technological inventions often bring about new changes in the pattern of interests: iron tools helped the ancient Syrians conquer the surrounding areas, the Qin crossbow helped the first emperor unify the Warring States, the musket helped Spain wreak havoc in the Americas, and the atomic bomb almost became Hitler's weapon of mass destruction... Because of technology, they have a unique status in that era and have the potential for great evil. Whether facing Google, Facebook, or BAT, as long as they tend to monopolize, we must be vigilant. This is not a technical issue, nor a value issue, but a reflection of the dark side of human nature, the profit-seeking nature of capital, and power games in the field of technology. As a winner of Toutiao's Qingyun Plan and Baijiahao's Bai+ Plan, the 2019 Baidu Digital Author of the Year, the Baijiahao's Most Popular Author in the Technology Field, the 2019 Sogou Technology and Culture Author, and the 2021 Baijiahao Quarterly Influential Creator, he has won many awards, including the 2013 Sohu Best Industry Media Person, the 2015 China New Media Entrepreneurship Competition Beijing Third Place, the 2015 Guangmang Experience Award, the 2015 China New Media Entrepreneurship Competition Finals Third Place, and the 2018 Baidu Dynamic Annual Powerful Celebrity. |
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