End time of the epidemic in 2022: Can the epidemic end on May 1st and return to normal?

Recently, new cases have appeared in Beijing, Shanghai, Jilin, Hunan, Fujian and other places in my country, and some areas have been listed as medium- and high-risk areas. Everyone is also concerned about the end time of the epidemic. So when will the epidemic end in 2022? Can the May Day epidemic end and return to normal?

1. When will the epidemic end in 2022?

The end time of the epidemic in 2022 is unknown, because new cases have appeared in Beijing, Shanghai, Jilin, Liaoning, Hunan and other places in my country, and according to experts' predictions, these epidemic areas are not expected to improve until April. In addition, the virus this time is mostly Omicron (BA.2 evolutionary branch), which is a branch that has recently begun to spread around the world. It has the characteristics of strong transmission, strong concealment, and difficulty in detection. Therefore, it has strong explosive power and is a bit difficult to prevent and control. According to the conditions required for the end of this epidemic, Liang Wannian, leader of the expert group of the National Health Commission's epidemic response and disposal leading group, recently made the latest response to this, specifically the following conditions must be met:

Condition 1: The new coronavirus mutates and becomes weaker.

Condition 2: The new coronavirus vaccine is more effective. While preventing severe illness and death, it can also prevent infection, reducing the rate of severe illness and mortality.

Condition three: There is a specific medicine for the new coronavirus vaccine, which means that in addition to the existing effective drugs, there is a drug that is more effective than the effective drugs and can block the virus at an early stage.

Condition 4: The epidemic in other countries is also easing, so most of the new cases in my country this year are imported from abroad. If the overseas situation does not ease, even if our situation is alleviated, the epidemic will reappear due to imports from abroad.

2. Will the epidemic end on May 1, 2022 and things will return to normal?

There is a relatively high possibility that the epidemic will end and return to normal on May 1, 2022, because in response to this round of epidemic, the chief epidemiologist once said that this round of epidemic in 2022 will be eradicated within 2-4 weeks. If you calculate the time, it will be well controlled in April. Moreover, the epidemic situation in most cities has been basically effectively controlled. According to this trend, it is expected that this round of epidemic can be ended before May 1, but the specific details shall be subject to the official announcement.

In addition, in order to end the May Day epidemic and return to normal, during this year's Qingming Festival, many places have issued notices advocating that everyone should pay homage to the dead remotely and not return home unless necessary. If they really need to return home, they must report to the village in advance. Those returning home must check their travel code, health code, and negative nucleic acid test certificate within 48 hours, and monitor their health for 14 days. Therefore, in order for everyone to travel normally, if you don't want to go out during the Qingming Festival this year, it's best to pay homage to the dead remotely.

Summary: When the epidemic will end in 2022 is unknown, but if the new coronavirus mutation becomes weaker and weaker, vaccines and special medicines are available, and the epidemic in other countries is also alleviated, then the end time will be soon. However, this round of epidemic in our country is expected to end and return to normal on May 1st. After all, the chief epidemiologist once said that this round of epidemic will be eradicated within 24 weeks in 2022. If calculated in time, it is expected that this round of epidemic will end in April, but the specific details shall be subject to the official announcement.