Artificial intelligence needs to be viewed calmly. If we blindly follow the speculative craze, it may turn into a cold wave.

Artificial intelligence needs to be viewed calmly. If we blindly follow the speculative craze, it may turn into a cold wave.

Artificial intelligence is a "real thing", but it has been greatly exaggerated in some casual and lacking rigor in communication or presentation. The healthy development of artificial intelligence in the future still requires sober and objective judgment and solid efforts.

Artificial intelligence is probably the hottest technology right now. Big data, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things, which were popular a few years ago, pale in comparison to artificial intelligence.

As the old saying goes, "Be prepared for danger in times of peace." One question we have to think about is: How long will the current hot artificial intelligence last?

You know, artificial intelligence is not a new thing. Since the concept was proposed in the 1960s, there have been two major climaxes in history, but basically, it was "hot for 5 years and cold for 10 years", and a short-term boom was followed by a longer period of cold.

One of the important reasons why AI has repeatedly experienced this phenomenon is that it was overheated in the beginning. On the one hand, both the academic and business communities underestimated the complexity and difficulty of the relevant basic theories and core key technologies, resulting in the inability of subsequent research and development to support its advancement; at the same time, new technologies often mean new investment opportunities, and it is inevitable to take advantage of the opportunity to hype and defraud capital. The hotter the hype, the bigger the potential bubble.

People of insight at home and abroad have issued warnings about the overheating of artificial intelligence. Fei-Fei Li, a Chinese scientist and director of the Artificial Intelligence Laboratory and the Vision Laboratory at Stanford University, believes that artificial intelligence is a "real thing", but it has been strongly exaggerated in many casual and lacking rigor in communication or presentation; this casual and exaggerated words affect everyone, from entrepreneurs to investors, from large companies to governments, from scientific research funding agencies to basic research institutions. This top artificial intelligence expert believes: "At present, we need to double our efforts in basic research on artificial intelligence."

Scientists' warnings are worth listening to. Although my country has certain advantages in integrating resources and vertical applications, it is an indisputable fact that it has weaknesses in basic algorithms, core hardware, key technologies, and leading talents. The performance, reliability, and user experience of terminal products also need to be further improved.

Looking into the future, artificial intelligence, which integrates a variety of cutting-edge branch technologies, will indeed produce a chain reaction and bring about tremendous changes in our lives and production. There is no such thing as a free lunch. The better the prospects, the more we need sober and objective judgment and solid efforts. If we rush in blindly, follow the trend, and take shortcuts, I am afraid that the craze will soon turn into a cold wave.

As a winner of Toutiao's Qingyun Plan and Baijiahao's Bai+ Plan, the 2019 Baidu Digital Author of the Year, the Baijiahao's Most Popular Author in the Technology Field, the 2019 Sogou Technology and Culture Author, and the 2021 Baijiahao Quarterly Influential Creator, he has won many awards, including the 2013 Sohu Best Industry Media Person, the 2015 China New Media Entrepreneurship Competition Beijing Third Place, the 2015 Guangmang Experience Award, the 2015 China New Media Entrepreneurship Competition Finals Third Place, and the 2018 Baidu Dynamic Annual Powerful Celebrity.

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