Zhong Nanshan recommends that Hong Kong conduct universal nucleic acid screening (full text)

Zhong Nanshan suggested that Hong Kong should carry out nucleic acid screening for all people (full text) Zhong Nanshan talked about Hong Kong's epidemic prevention and control: nucleic acid screening for all people should be carried out as soon as possible

On July 29, in Guangzhou, Guangdong, Zhong Nanshan, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, answered questions about the recent development of the epidemic in Hong Kong and prevention and control measures. He said that according to the current data of new cases in Hong Kong every day, the epidemic in Hong Kong is developing and community transmission has occurred, but exponential growth has not yet appeared, so the key depends on the subsequent prevention and control situation.

Zhong Nanshan: The epidemic in Hong Kong is still developing and community transmission has occurred

Zhong Nanshan, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering: The incidence rate in Hong Kong is about 37/100,000, and the mortality rate is 0.7/100,000, so this data is not much.

The epidemic situation in Hong Kong is still developing. In February and April, we felt that Hong Kong was doing very well and successfully. From late June to July 8, the number was less than 30 per day. From July 8 to 18, the number of confirmed cases increased, but generally no more than 60. After July 18, except for one or two occasions, the daily number of new cases exceeded 100 in the past 10 days, and the highest was over 140. So it seems that the epidemic is developing. What does this mean? The disease has spread to the community. That is to say, there were some imported sources, etc., which were then passed on to others and spread in the community; if the community cannot track them, they will be passed on to the second and third generations...

However, its growth trend is not completely like a chain reaction model, that is, geometric growth. Its growth is more like the increase of arithmetic series on a plane, from more than 20 to more than 30, more than 60, and now to more than 100. This shows that government intervention and social intervention still played a big role.