Tesla's frequent car accidents have not stopped car companies from developing enthusiasm for autonomous driving technology, which is expected to enter a period of explosive growth in 2020
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From the new car brand Tesla to the technology giant Google, to the traditional car manufacturers Chevrolet, Ford, BMW, etc. At present, almost all car manufacturers have begun to study the technology of autonomous driving, but there is still no unified industry standard. It is imperative to avoid hidden dangers and promote standardization . In May 2016, Joshua Brown, a former member of the US Navy SEALs, died in a car accident while using a semi-autonomous driving system. Subsequently, Tesla began to equip each car with more cameras and sensors so that the car has no blind spots. Last Saturday, Tesla was exposed to another car accident, although the parties involved said that it was not the fault of autonomous driving. However, the company's stock price still fell 4.4% at the opening of the market on Monday, a drop of 2.5%. To some extent, the perfection of technology is the premise for paving the way for the marketization of autonomous driving, which is related to the stability and reliability of the product and the safety of users. From the standard system of autonomous driving vehicles to the establishment of laws and regulations related to autonomous driving vehicles, it is necessary to explore and move forward in practice. However, data often reflects the actual trend. According to research, the foreseeable operation capacity of driverless cars will reduce vehicle traffic pressure by 400%. Even a conservative estimate can reach 200%. It is conceivable that after this technology reaches the level of popularization, urban traffic congestion will be greatly alleviated, people's travel costs will be greatly reduced, and how much public space will be saved for the city. Based on these development trends, a lot of preparatory work needs to be done in the early stage. In addition to reconsidering urban planning, the improvement and maturity of technology is indispensable. At present, there are two levels of autonomous driving, SAE (American Society of Automotive Engineers) 0 to 5, a total of six levels, and NHTSA (American Highway Safety Administration) 0 to 4, a total of five levels. 0 belongs to traditional driving; 1 and 2 belong to driving assistance; 3, 4, 5 belong to autonomous driving systems. Industry insiders believe that another way to divide autonomous driving and assisted driving is to divide responsibilities. The responsible accidents during assisted driving are the responsibility of the driver, and the responsible accidents during autonomous driving are the responsibility of the OEM. According to this standard, Tesla's autonomous driving is at the level of partial automation of level 2, which can only be regarded as semi-autonomous driving monitored by humans, and belongs to assisted driving. However, for now, Tesla's Autopilot "autonomous driving" technology is at the advanced level of assisted driving, but there is still a long way to go to achieve autonomous driving. Standards are becoming clearer and the watershed for commercialization will be in 2020. Most of the current automobile companies are taking a gradual route. Except for Nvidia, which recently demonstrated its technology for achieving Level 3 autonomous driving for the first time on the new generation 2018 Audi A8, most automobile manufacturers have just begun to launch models equipped with semi-autonomous driving technology. Although automobile manufacturers have set the goal of putting driverless cars on the road in 2020 or 2021. However, according to SAIC's forecast, the final level 5 system for autonomous driving in all environments will not be realized until 2030 at the earliest. China's industrial environment is different from that of foreign countries. There is a lot of room for imagination in driverless cars, intelligent driving or more new models, and the development potential is huge. It is reported that by 2025, there will be about 1% of autonomous vehicles, and 300,000 to 500,000 vehicles in China will be fully autonomous. According to the Boston Consulting Group's estimate, by 2035, the market value of the driverless car market will reach 77 billion US dollars. Faced with such growth space, China will naturally follow up in an orderly manner. Xie Fei, vice president of the China Academy of Automotive Engineering, revealed: "my country is already strengthening the formulation and improvement of relevant standards. Basically, by 2018, a relatively complete and relatively perfect standard will be formed, and ADAS (driving assistance system) vehicles that meet more national standards will also appear." Nowadays, autonomous driving and even unmanned driving are important trends in the future of the Internet of Vehicles. In addition to the need to establish mandatory standards and specifications at the technical level, the legal and regulatory issues regarding unmanned driving also need to be resolved urgently. According to observers, one of the future directions of unmanned driving development is likely to be achieved within fixed areas and routes, but even so, it is impossible to completely avoid the need to change relevant laws and regulations. As a winner of Toutiao's Qingyun Plan and Baijiahao's Bai+ Plan, the 2019 Baidu Digital Author of the Year, the Baijiahao's Most Popular Author in the Technology Field, the 2019 Sogou Technology and Culture Author, and the 2021 Baijiahao Quarterly Influential Creator, he has won many awards, including the 2013 Sohu Best Industry Media Person, the 2015 China New Media Entrepreneurship Competition Beijing Third Place, the 2015 Guangmang Experience Award, the 2015 China New Media Entrepreneurship Competition Finals Third Place, and the 2018 Baidu Dynamic Annual Powerful Celebrity. |
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