1. What do we mean when we talk about user behavior ?There are many words that we blurt out in our daily lives, but we actually haven’t thought about their true meaning. Most arguments and wrong decisions start from unclear and inconsistent definitions. Internet finance operations are the jobs that are closest to money, so a clear definition of user behavior is particularly important.
User behavior is composed of the five simplest elements: time (when), place (where), person (who), interaction (how), and content of interaction (what). To analyze user behavior, it is necessary to define it into various events. For example, user search is an event, which includes the time, platform, ID, search result and search content. This is a complete event and a definition of user behavior. With such events, we can connect user behaviors and observe them.
User behavior analysis refers to the statistics and analysis of relevant data after obtaining basic data on website visits, so as to discover the patterns of users' website visits and combine these patterns with online marketing strategies, so as to discover possible problems in current online marketing activities and provide a basis for further revising or reformulating online marketing strategies. Specifically, user behavior analysis is based on the user's behavior on Internet products, as well as the time frequency of the people behind the behavior, etc., to deeply restore the user's usage scenarios and guide business growth. A complete, multi-dimensional and accurate user portrait = user behavior data + user attribute data.
Consumer behavior in a narrow sense refers only to consumers' purchasing behavior and actual consumption of consumer materials. In a broad sense: the various actions taken by consumers to obtain, use, and dispose of consumer goods, as well as the decision-making process that precedes and determines these actions, and even a series of complex processes including the acquisition of consumer income. Consumer behavior is dynamic, involving the interaction of perception, cognition, behavior and environmental factors, as well as the transaction process.
Consumer behavior model With the rise and development of the Internet, the model for conducting consumer research has evolved from the initial AIDMA model (Attention, Interest, Desire, Memory, Action) to the later AISAS model: 2. Interest 3. Search——Search 4. Action – Purchase action 5. Share——Initiate sharing In the linear direction, there are multiple key nodes on the core path from "attention" to "sharing". Due to the "persuasive psychology slide" effect (explained below), users will be lost for various reasons in the process from the starting node to the final node, thus forming a user conversion funnel. For Internet finance operations, it is necessary to combine the company's current goals and its own KPIs, grasp the key touchpoints of the conversion funnel, and design corresponding operation strategies accordingly. To analyze user behavior, we need to define it as various events, and aggregate the time (when), place (where), person (who), interaction (how), and content (what) of the interaction to form a complete user task. From the perspective of task levels, from core to periphery, they can be divided into three levels: core tasks, extended tasks, and extended tasks. For Internet finance operators, it is necessary to go deep into the system of the company's products, understand the key paths and main processes of user operations, and design operational activities based on the importance of user tasks. This will avoid the situation of brutal conflicts between operations and products to the greatest extent. Before reading on, you can stop and think about this: for investment users, what are their core tasks, extended tasks, and extended tasks? Since different users are at different stages of the conversion funnel, there are group differences in the stages of their life cycle development on this platform. Introduction period, growth period, maturity period, dormancy period and churn period: for users at different development stages, the differences in operation strategies are often huge. At this point, we have initially built the basic framework of our user growth strategy : 2. Sort out the minimum closed loop according to the task level, and then design the operation strategy in different levels and stages 3. Segment users according to their life cycle , and then implement differentiated operation methods for users in different life cycles A complete P2P user portrait = user attribute data + user behavior data + transaction data + risk-return data. Internet companies are good at the first two areas, but they often focus on general Internet user analysis and lack understanding of finance and investment; financial institutions are stronger in the second two areas, and generally believe that user behavior data is only procedural information and are unwilling to collect it. It is possible that an APP has been launched for many years without any basic tracking or conversion rate analysis. In the entire user portrait system, user behavior is the key element that connects the other three data on both the user and the platform, and it is worthy of in-depth exploration and improvement. By analyzing the types of pages users visit and the depth of their access paths, we can help identify users’ preferences for certain investment products or operating activities, and then push more information about such products to such users, or coupons related to related products (interest rate coupons/discount coupons/full-reduction coupons, etc.). If the platform is larger, we can use it to improve the front-end architecture design to suit each individual need. Previously, user behavior analysis agencies such as GrowingIO and Zhuge IO have launched such products. Although the accuracy needs to be further improved, it is a beneficial attempt after all. Judging from the feedback from actual use, the analysis effect of preference analysis on investment and financial management apps is better than its application in lending products. From user introduction to user loss , the entire chain follows up to improve conversion rate and retention rate . According to the formula: = (a customer's monthly investment frequency * average order value * gross profit margin) * (1/monthly churn rate) From this, we can see that, with the average order value and gross profit margin unchanged, there are two points we can start with:
Developing an operational strategy is not as simple as copying competitors’ products and implementing the boss’s requirements. Or to put it another way, how to better copy the essence of competitors' products and make the boss's requirements a plannable/executable/reportable level all depends on the collection and analysis of user behavior data. Talking about operations without considering user behavior is tantamount to being a hooligan. Review the effects of version upgrades and operational activities based on user behavior data, and make adjustments and optimizations accordingly. Regardless of whether the goal of the activity is to increase daily active users, increase GMV or single product transaction volume, it must ultimately be implemented on the user's conversion funnel node or user task. When reviewing the effectiveness of an activity, a simple look is nothing more than “achieved” or “not achieved”, but analysis of user behavior data can answer why, what went well/badly, and how to do better next time. Various conversion rates based on the conversion funnel, new user acquisition -activation- retention analysis based on pirate indicators, registration-investment-withdrawal data analysis based on the user task system, etc., can all help us build a framework for building the indicator system of this platform and comparative analysis of competing products, which is of significant help in formulating operational indicators, applying for resources, and reviewing results. 3. How to build a growth system based on user behaviorThe construction of a growth system based on user behavior can be divided into four parts: preconditions, execution strategies, channel building, and implementation supporting principles. The following will expand on each of these. 1. Prerequisites: User data preparationAs mentioned above, a complete Internet finance user portrait system is composed of the following four parts of data: attribute data, behavior data, transaction data, and risk-return data. Internet financial data analysis system
Based on the above data, combined with frequency, time dimension, number of users and other indicators, more indicator data can be obtained, such as:
If the user's investment behavior is combined with the most recent transaction time, transaction frequency, and transaction amount per unit time (based on the RFM model ), it will be able to provide strong support for user value judgment, recall strategy formulation, etc. after calculation and analysis.
Regarding the risk-return data, let’s expand on it a little: For most P2P platforms, product display and recommendation are primarily based on marketing purposes, without much consideration of the user's own risk tolerance. Sometimes, even after users complete the risk assessment, they are induced to purchase products that exceed their risk tolerance, so you will see the following picture: XX Finance provides investment advice after users complete risk assessment (Picture from the official account @Smart Investment Advisory Alliance) According to the direction of regulatory development in the past two years, the implementation of the suitability principle of "selling the right products to the right investors" will gradually spread from licensed financial institutions to Internet financial companies. Designing products and operational strategies based on users' risk tolerance and profit goals can, on the one hand, improve compliance levels and platform safety margins; on the other hand, it can also provide a further grasp of users' investment needs and investment capabilities. This part of the content has also been covered in previous articles. You can click "Touching the Heart's Operational Strategy - Redefining Internet Financial Users Part 1" to view it. The matching relationship between user risk tolerance and product risk level - based on user risk tolerance (5-level classification) The relationship between user risk tolerance and user investment goals - based on user risk tolerance (3 levels) In 2016, Ant Financial published the " Ant Jubao Public Investor Big Data Analysis", which revealed five items that can be respectively corresponded to the four categories of data mentioned above: Note:
2. User growth model constructionThe growth strategy based on user behavior relies on the establishment of three basic models: conversion funnel model , life cycle model and task hierarchy model. in:
Regarding the conversion funnel model, Dao Shiwu has already described it in detail in previous articles, so I will not elaborate on it here. Conversion Funnel Model (Financial Management) Based on the above model, it is relatively easy to grasp the key conversion nodes and corresponding important indicators of financial management users. But in actual application, this only reaches the passing score of 60 points. So, how can we use the conversion funnel model in a more advanced way? Here are two directions you can refer to: 1. User branch path conversion funnel (taking communication/invitation as an example) Conversion Funnel Model-Branch Path Conversion Taking the "propagation" node of the conversion funnel model as the core, we can break down the process from "old users seeing the invitation prompt on the interface" to "new users accepting the invitation and completing the registration and account opening", with at least 7 conversion nodes in between. When broken down to this granularity, more operations tasks begin to emerge: Ultimately, judging from the results, refined funnel division can, on the one hand, help operations improve efficiency and input-output ratio, and on the other hand, it is also conducive to quickly locating and solving problems during the activity. When reviewing the event after it is over, the conclusions drawn will be more reliable as to whether it was done well and how to do better next time. 2. Direction 2: Parallel conversion funnel Conversion Funnel Model-Parallel Conversion Note: In the above figure, for users, investment, content, daily interest rate hikes, communication and other businesses are all defined as "parallel businesses". If we divide it according to different granularities and different business lines, we can actually break down many parallel conversion funnels within an APP. For operations, it is meaningless to break it down just for the sake of breaking it down. We need to sort out several parallel funnels that need to be focused on based on the current operational priorities and department KPIs (the number in the same period generally does not exceed 3-4, and you will not be able to take care of more than that). Generally speaking, there are several directions:
For users who enter the platform in the same period, we can use cohort analysis and other methods to analyze the usage and conversion of these users in major parallel businesses within a period of time after entering the platform (if it is a public fund, the shortest subscription and redemption time can be set to one week), and further understand the degree of overlap of users in various businesses. Based on the above analysis, through page guidance, activity incentives and other methods, combined with the platform's user growth system, we can facilitate the transition of users between parallel businesses. The following are some examples of parallel businesses related to "investment": Example: Lufax Taking Lufax’s seal system as an example, by designing the user growth path, it guides users to transition between different businesses, continuously conduct transactions of various products, and participate in various platform activities, ultimately improving user activity and retention rate.
The user life cycle is usually divided into five stages: introduction, growth, maturity, dormancy, and churn. By refining the characteristics of each period, these five time periods can be divided into three operating intervals:
User life cycle model The first problem that novices encounter is often that they don't know what criteria to use to divide the life cycle nodes. In fact, in the actual operation process, you don’t really need to make a user life cycle distribution chart and then operate accordingly. In fact, which stage of the cycle a user is in is determined by his or her behavior. Therefore, the key to operation also lies in user behavior. For example, you may find that the subscription amount for products on the platform has barely increased recently, or has even decreased. So, you ask your BI colleagues to pull data and find that the proportion of registered but non-trading users on the platform has been on the rise in the past month, and the user reinvestment rate has also declined. Combining the user conversion funnel model above, you can draw preliminary conclusions:
When users are at different stages of development, user value will change accordingly. Therefore, corresponding operational goals and strategies need to be designed for different stages. The relevant content has been described in detail in previous articles and will not be expanded here.
Mutual Finance User Task Hierarchy System (Financial Management Side) For users on the financial management side, all behaviors on a platform can be assessed and analyzed within the framework of "core tasks-extended tasks-external tasks". This is the "user task hierarchy model" that Dao Shiwu will introduce in this section. After careful observation, you will find a very interesting phenomenon. "Model I - User Conversion Funnel Model" is actually a platform-centered user conversion perspective, while "Model III - User Task Hierarchy Model" is a user-centered demand satisfaction perspective. Both models have the same transformation nodes, but Model I is flat while Model III is weighted. 1. Task hierarchical structure: Note: The reason for placing "Becoming a Platform Investor" in the extended task area is that for users, the task of "Becoming a Platform Investor" is actually a prerequisite for the task of "Making Money". It is indeed very important, but it is not the first issue that users care about, so the weight of this task is moved to the extended task. 2. Market opportunities in the user task hierarchical model:
The ability of these companies to cope with reshuffle risks is "strong"
The ability of these companies to cope with reshuffle risks is "medium"
The ability of such companies to cope with reshuffle risks is "weak" PS: If you overdo the external business and go astray, the ultimate outcome is pyramid selling and Ponzi schemes. Many people are obsessed with the so-called user fission method. If it is separated from the core tasks of users, it is definitely not a healthy user growth model - it can neither bring in legal income nor sustain growth in scale. 3. Task hierarchical relationship:
4. Task hierarchical role coordination:
If you observe carefully, you will find that a senior product manager or operations manager is often able to think in the direction of "core task → extended task → extended task", and at the same time can fully base themselves on their respective business goals and KPIs, and then design plans and arrange priorities. On the other hand, sometimes when operations colleagues put forward an operations requirement to product colleagues, they will be surprised: "Hey, why did the product colleague get so angry on the spot?" In fact, if you understand the user task hierarchy model, you will know that the requirement you put forward this time is likely to make the product colleague feel that the user's core task process is disturbed. Based on the insight into user task stratification, operations can have a more reasonable grasp of the weights of various functions in the product, and have a common basis for discussion when communicating with product and development. The following takes the "Task Center" of JD Finance APP as an example to disassemble and analyze the relevant tasks: JD Finance’s Task System Analysis From the above figure we can see:
However, it should be noted that different types of companies have different focuses on their business goals when they are at different stages of development. Therefore, the design of operational activity plans and supporting incentive measures will have their own personalized aspects. The model cannot be applied directly, and specific analysis is required for specific issues. 3. User growth path constructionMutual Finance User Growth Framework For Internet finance products, user conversion and growth are achieved at two levels:
The increase in user investment amounts and the complexity of investment products represents an increase in user risk tolerance and return targets.
The improvement of user maturity within the platform is manifested in the continuous migration and growth to the next link of the funnel based on the growth system of the main conversion funnel. From a financial perspective, the user's family development stage in the financial life cycle is a background factor that affects the user's financial growth; at the same time, the user's risk tolerance, return goals, income level, investment experience, etc. are all key factors that affect the user's financial growth. However, since the financial life cycle involves a large amount of personalized offline data and is too closely related to investment, protection, and asset allocation, we will not go into detail in this article and will discuss it in another article in the future. From the Internet level, the node of the user's development life cycle on the platform is a background factor that affects the user's growth at the Internet level; at the same time, the user's node in the main conversion funnel, activity status, retention status, etc. are all key factors that affect the user's growth at the Internet level. Overall, the user's growth process is intertwined at the two levels of finance and the Internet, and is ultimately reflected in the user's various investment behaviors on the platform.
Investment growth system for financial management users Previously, Ant Fortune (formerly "Ant Jubao") had made a very vivid stratification of financial management users, divided into 7 levels from the most basic bank deposits (kindergarten) to the most advanced asset allocation (sixth grade). According to this standard, we will find that the current situation of most fund companies is to teach third and fourth grade classes to first graders; and a number of domestic smart investment advisory companies are to teach sixth grade classes to kindergarten children. These situations actually ignore the stratification of Internet finance users and the process of user growth, which is reflected in the number of users and management fee income, and the return effect will naturally not be very good. For Internet finance platforms, they need to help and guide users to achieve growth and progress based on their own product resources and user stratification and in combination with corresponding operational strategies. In this regard, I have always felt that JD Finance's "Xiaobai Fund" has done a good job (I haven't seen the transaction data, and JD's friends are welcome to add to it^_^): JD Finance-Xiaobai Fund When users click to enter "Newbie Fund", they can see "Daily Earn", "Monthly Earn" and "Expert Zone" from left to right, which correspond to money market funds, bond funds and hybrid/stock funds respectively (there was also "Weekly Earn" based on short-term financial management funds), helping users to outline the growth path of "First Year (Money Market Fund) → Second Year (Bond Fund) → Fourth Year (Hybrid Fund)". Users can also obtain income rewards ranging from 3% to 4% by learning about fund product knowledge. For novice users, money market funds and bond funds are within the risk range they can bear and they can obtain additional income subsidies, so they will naturally be motivated to participate in the investment and growth process. In fact, for most financial management apps, if you do the following two things, this article will be worth reading:
Financial management end user transaction behavior growth system From the perspective of the composition of the growth system of user transaction behavior on the financial management side, it mainly includes the following elements:
Below is Lufax’s “January Return Gift” campaign, which targets users who have not invested for N days and have balance in their accounts. The main purpose of the campaign is to encourage dormant users to “complete new investments” by sending investment voucher text messages. LuX Institute-January Return Gift From the above figure we can see:
In short, the conversion and growth of users at the Internet level is actually a relatively complex process, which includes both the conversion of users in the main process and the conversion of users in the branch process. At every point of conversion, we must consider clearly the user's interests and risks/difficulties, and prepare products and operational methods in advance, ultimately promoting the continuous conversion and growth of users. At the end of this section, let’s take a look at another case study – Orange Finance’s novice task growth task. As mentioned above, the user's growth process is intertwined at the two levels of finance and the Internet, and the two are interdependent and mutually reinforcing. Breakdown of Orange Finance's newbie tasks and growth tasks From the above figure we can see:
After buying a fixed-term product, only VIP users have the privilege of early redemption, while ordinary users cannot redeem in advance (to become a VIP user, the investment amount on the platform must reach a certain scale), which further improves the user retention rate on the platform.
When we usually do competitive product research and reference methods, such background factors are often ignored, and the result of directly copying other people's methods is often "70% depends on luck and three% depends on financial resources". This situation should be avoided as much as possible. In summary, in the process of continuously completing tasks and gaining growth, users have gained more rights and psychological satisfaction, and the platform has also gained user activity and loyalty. Here we can see that a good operation strategy design can enable both users and the platform to achieve a win-win situation. The construction of the user growth system is interspersed with various routines of "interest", "honor", "emotion" and "security", and the peeking into human weaknesses is vividly reflected here. On the basis of fully grasping user behavior, in order to maximize the effectiveness of the user growth model, we also need to have supporting guiding principles and measures:
Latte Smart Investment-old new cases
4. The underlying framework and guiding ideologyAt this point, the whole article is coming to an end. Daoshiwu sorted out the entire set of underlying thinking frameworks behind the growth logic based on user behavior. Because of Elon Musk , the "first principle" has been very popular in the past two years. I also tried to start from the lowest needs and behavior patterns of Internet finance users and make a brief deduction of the complete set of logic, see the figure below: The underlying framework based on user behavior growth logic The direct goal of users participating in financial business is to obtain profits, and ultimately to consume. According to the statement of "Financial Science", "a basic creed of finance is that the ultimate function of the financial system is to meet people's consumption preferences, including all basic necessities such as food, clothing and shelter." To be honest, it means making money is to spend money better. At this point, platforms like Alibaba and JD have perfectly realized the closed loop of users' "investment-consumption". The process of users obtaining profits is the process of investing funds into the financial management platform and transferring funds after achieving the profit target. Users' operations on any financial management platform can eventually be abstracted into the behavioral system of "invest funds → obtain returns → transfer funds". Among all the disciplines at present, Daoshiwu believes that economics is the most reasonable framework and tool to explain user needs and behaviors. According to Mr. Zhang Wuchang's view, economic science can ultimately be summarized into three most basic axioms: the law of demand, the concept of cost and the meaning of competition. These three points are actually the starting point of all operational strategies.
Persuading Psychology Slide According to the theory of persuasion psychology, the following four elements need to be considered for the persuasion and behavior of users:
In the persuasion psychology slide model, the "gravity" representing the user's initial motivation corresponds to the "demand" of the three axioms of economics. The "friction" representing the user's completion of specific behavioral resistance is also corresponding to the "cost" of the three axioms of economics. They are the embodiment of the economics axioms in operational strategies. Foger's behavioral model The BJ Fogg's behavior model believes that to facilitate a user's behavior, the following three elements are required:
In the Foger behavior model, there is a correspondence between the "gravity" (initial motivation) and "angle" (motivation excavated from the user) of the persuasion psychology slide model. "ability" corresponds to "friction" (the resistance of the user to complete a specific behavior on the platform), and the "trigger" corresponds to "push" (the motivation provided by operations to users) - this means that every element of the persuasion psychology slide is ultimately reflected in the corresponding operational key points in the Foger behavior model. The Foger behavior model is the basic framework of all operational strategies. The above article is based on the January return ceremony of the Institute of Lu X as an example. Let’s take a look at the practical application of the Foger behavior model:
When users complete specific behaviors according to the path set by operations, the user's transformation and growth path has taken a new step forward. Finally, the core guiding ideology of the three articles "The Touching Operation Strategy (1-3)" is summarized in three useless sentences: User growth as the main axis User transaction-oriented The above is the only way to grow Internet finance users.
Source: Daoshiwubiji (ID: daoshiwubiji) |
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