What would the world be like without Android?

A piece of news that Kodak will join hands with another company Bullitt to launch an Android tablet computer has attracted a lot of attention. Due to the impact of digital photography, Kodak once faced bankruptcy protection and gradually withdrew from people's sight.

But now, it's back - thanks to Android. Imagine how difficult it would be for Kodak to make a tablet without the open Android operating system. However, without Android, Kodak would not be the company most affected. So, what would the world be like without Android?

First, and most directly, Google, the creator of Android, will become Yahoo. Android helped Google build its own mobile ecosystem. Without Android, Google would have missed out on the entire mobile Internet. Just as Yahoo became mediocre after missing out on search, Google would become less important without the mobile Internet.

Secondly, the landscape of mobile Internet will be very different from today.

Before the emergence of Android, the main players in the smartphone market were RIM (BlackBerry), Palm, Nokia (Symbian) and Microsoft's Windows Mobile. Apple's iPhone had just joined the competition. Without the impact of Android, iPhone would have gained a larger market share, Nokia would not have died out as a mobile phone brand, and BlackBerry would still be the top brand for business people.

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If we talk about China, Xiaomi should be the one that is most affected. Without Android, Xiaomi would cease to exist. This is a company that is now valued at $45 billion. Meizu may still be a very niche brand. There is no way to talk about Hammer phones. Other domestic mobile phone manufacturers will not have an easy time either. The process of transforming from feature phones to smartphones will be longer and more difficult, and it will also be difficult to compete with international brands.

In addition to mobile phone manufacturers, a number of domestic companies built around the Android ecosystem will not exist, such as Wandoujia, and departments similar to Wandoujia under Tencent, Baidu, and 360. Innovation Works, which incubated Wandoujia, may not exist either. There are also a large number of mobile game companies. Without Android, their revenue will be cut by at least two-thirds. In fact, for all mobile Internet entrepreneurs, the overall cost of starting a business will be higher without Android.

Again, without Android, new trends and entrepreneurial booms such as wearable devices and smart hardware may arrive several years later. There may be no direct connection between Android and smart hardware, but Android has driven the smartphone industry chain and paved the way for the development of smart hardware. Many smart hardware startups have built the Android operating system into their hardware, the most obvious of which is various smart watches. Without Android, the world's first smart watch may be the Apple Watch, which will be officially released next year.

If we look further ahead, the smart hardware startup boom has just begun, and there is more room for imagination in the future. It is precisely because of Android that many manufacturers have the possibility to try their hand in the field of smart hardware. But if there is no Android, there will be too many restrictions in the future.

***, all of the above will have a huge impact on our daily lives. For the human race as a whole, if there is no Android, the current global mobile Internet population will be at least halved. For individuals, if there is no Android, the price of a mainstream smartphone will be more than 2,000 yuan, and after buying a phone, it will be difficult to enjoy the convenience of life brought by various mobile applications or the joy of playing games, and measuring blood pressure will not be as convenient as it is now.

Of course, you can also say that if there is no Android, we will still have Bndroid or Cndroid. But the fact is that when Android appeared, there was really no mobile operating system that was more competitive than it (in terms of cost, ease of use, openness, scalability, etc.). Even if there is a replacement, it may take two or three years - if you are still using a smartphone from two years ago, you will definitely think about changing your phone every day.

Although I have been using Android phones for less than half a year, and my main phone is not Android, I still want to say thank you to Android and Google.

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[Editor: Yan Jiaming TEL: (010) 68476606]